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Entity dossier · Nº 016

Vistra Corp.

Electric Utilities NYSE: VST Public vistracorp.com ↗ Irving, Texas, United States SEC CIK 1692819 ↗

Vistra shows conventional energy operations with growing investment and a carbon-pricing policy stance; no frontier tech signals present. Model synthesis · opinion

Climbing Confidence 51%
Kardashev-equivalent K 0.469

48.9 GW average power · 429.09 TWh/yr energy consumed (2025).

K = (log₁₀P − 6) / 10 with P in watts. Humanity today ≈ K 0.73. Computed in code from the reported figure — source: vistracorp.com/documents/sustainability/reporting-year/20....

Index composition

65% measured · 35% opinion · method
Energy throughput Measured 30% 9.2   90%
Compute capacity Measured 20% —   no data
Growth gradient Measured 15% 6.1   71%
Frontier acceleration Opinion 15% —   no data
Builder velocity Opinion 12% 4.0   70%
Permission to build Opinion 8% 2.0   59%

Index = weighted mean of the scored categories (weights renormalized over what was scored) · coverage 65% · confidence 51% · measured share 69% of the scored weight (opinion 31%). No “overall” is asked of the model. Scores are AI-assisted (disclosures).

Run history

Every published measurement, newest first. N is the run on the leaderboard now; failed attempts are not shown. Unranked runs show no Index; Δ and the Index trend compare ranked runs only.

A trend line appears after the second published run.

RunPublishedIndexΔK-equivMethodView
N current 2026-10-10 6.7 — 0.469 pipeline-v2.9 · weights-v1 · rubrics-v1 viewing

Measured — computed in code from reported figures

Joules · weight 30%

Energy throughput

9.2/ 10

Reported energy consumed: 429,088,004 MWh (2025) = 429.09 TWh/yr → 48.9 GW average → score 9.2, K = 0.469.

P = annual energy (J) / seconds per year → average watts. Score = clamp(2.5 × (log₁₀P − 7), 0, 10). Kardashev-equivalent K = (log₁₀P − 6) / 10. · confidence 90%

Watts of thought · weight 20%

Compute capacity

—no data

No verified operating data-center capacity was found, so this category is unscored.

Score = clamp(2.5 × log₁₀(MW), 0, 10).

Slope · weight 15%

Growth gradient

6.1/ 10

Compound annual growth: capex +28%/yr over 3y, revenue +4%/yr over 3y → score 6.1. Not available: energy (confidence reduced).

  • Verified evidence
  • PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment = 1,301,000,000 USD for fiscal year ended 2022-12-31 (10-K, accession 0001692819-25-000013) sec.gov · fetched 2026-10-10 ↗
  • PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment = 1,676,000,000 USD for fiscal year ended 2023-12-31 (10-K, accession 0001692819-26-000006) sec.gov · fetched 2026-10-10 ↗
  • PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment = 2,078,000,000 USD for fiscal year ended 2024-12-31 (10-K, accession 0001692819-26-000006) sec.gov · fetched 2026-10-10 ↗
  • PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment = 2,752,000,000 USD for fiscal year ended 2025-12-31 (10-K, accession 0001692819-26-000006) sec.gov · fetched 2026-10-10 ↗
  • +4 more in Reported figures
Each available sub-metric's compound annual growth rate (up to 3 years) is mapped piecewise-linearly through the anchors, then combined with weights capex 50%, revenue 25%, energy 25% (renormalized over what is available). · confidence 71%

Opinion — model-judged against written rubrics, from verified quotes only

Opinion · Capability · weight 15%

Frontier acceleration

—insufficient

No evidence of new capabilities, tech advances or cost reductions in frontier fields; only conventional power generation and asset acquisition [E392].

Opinion Rubric

Opinion · Shipping · weight 12%

Builder velocity

4.0/ 10

Rising capex and 5,500 MW gas asset acquisition indicate ordinary industry cadence of capacity expansion; no speed records or delays noted.

Opinion Rubric · confidence 70%

Opinion · Policy · weight 8%

Permission to build

2.0/ 10

Supports carbon fee-and-dividend framework; position favors regulated approach over unrestricted build-out or open energy supply.

  • Verified evidence
  • founding member of the Climate Leadership Council (CLC) and its advocacy arm, Americans for Carbon Dividends. Vistra actively supports the CLC's framework of a consistently applied national carbon fee and dividend approach with a border tax adjustment vistracorp.com · fetched 2026-10-10 ↗
Opinion Rubric · confidence 59%

Reported figures

MetricValuePeriodSource
Capital expenditure 2,752,000,000 USD FY2025 sec.gov ↗ SEC XBRL
Capital expenditure 2,078,000,000 USD FY2024 sec.gov ↗ SEC XBRL
Capital expenditure 1,676,000,000 USD FY2023 sec.gov ↗ SEC XBRL
Capital expenditure 1,301,000,000 USD FY2022 sec.gov ↗ SEC XBRL
Revenue 17,586,000,000 USD FY2025 sec.gov ↗ SEC XBRL
Revenue 14,761,000,000 USD FY2024 sec.gov ↗ SEC XBRL
Revenue 13,804,000,000 USD FY2023 sec.gov ↗ SEC XBRL
Revenue 15,631,000,000 USD FY2022 sec.gov ↗ SEC XBRL
Energy consumed 429,088,004 MWh 2025 vistracorp.com ↗
Electricity consumed 574,870 MWh 2025 vistracorp.com ↗
Energy generated (own plants) 202,091,044 MWh 2024 vistracorp.com ↗

Sources we fetched and verified

  1. SEC XBRL company facts — Vistra Corp. data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001692819.json · fetched 2026-10-10 · primary
  2. Vistra Corp. 2026 CDP Climate Questionnaire Response vistracorp.com/documents/sustainability/reporting-year/20... · fetched 2026-10-10 · sha256 ab77273ea697 · primary
  3. vistracorp.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Vistra-Corp-2024-CDP-Report-Web-Version.pdf vistracorp.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Vistra-Corp-202... · fetched 2026-10-10 · sha256 b97654ec703d · primary
  4. vistracorp.com/documents/sustainability/reporting-year/2024/VST-2024-SASB.pdf vistracorp.com/documents/sustainability/reporting-year/20... · fetched 2026-10-10 · sha256 49f2edbafa65 · primary
  5. vistracorp.com/documents/sustainability/reporting-year/2023/VST-SASB-Standards-Table-2023.pdf vistracorp.com/documents/sustainability/reporting-year/20... · fetched 2026-10-10 · sha256 a4145454496e · primary
  6. Vistra and Meta Announce Agreements to Support Nuclear Plants in PJM and Add New Nuclear Generation to the... investor.vistracorp.com/2026-01-09-Vistra-and-Meta-Announ... · fetched 2026-10-10 · sha256 3b610a517ab6 · primary
  7. Vistra Adds to its Industry-Leading Generation Portfolio with Acquisition of Cogentrix - Jan 5, 2026 investor.vistracorp.com/2026-01-05-Vistra-Adds-to-its-Ind... · fetched 2026-10-10 · sha256 81dfb56578bc · primary
  8. Vistra Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results - Aug 7, 2026 investor.vistracorp.com/2026-08-07-Vistra-Reports-Second-... · fetched 2026-10-10 · sha256 7f8905ffc897 · primary
  9. Focus on Reliable, Affordable and Sustainable Energy vistracorp.com/sustainability · fetched 2026-10-10 · sha256 9219403eb473 · primary
  10. Vistra Corp. Investor Relations - SEC Filings investor.vistracorp.com/sec-filings · fetched 2026-10-10 · sha256 d51ed2706ed8 · primary
  11. Vistra Corp. 2025 Sustainability Report Appendix vistracorp.com/documents/sustainability/reporting-year/20... · fetched 2026-10-10 · sha256 b29378439e71 · primary
  12. Annual Sustainability Report vistracorp.com/documents/sustainability/reporting-year/20... · fetched 2026-10-10 · sha256 30841ea1de31 · primary

2 other candidate links were rejected (dead, soft-404, blocked or unreadable) and are not shown.

Run N · 2026-10-10 13:51 PDT · 1m 17s · 8 stages · grok-4.3
StageStatusTimeWeb searches
resolvesucceeded5.6 s2
researchsucceeded14 s4
edgarsucceeded0.2 s—
fetchsucceeded32 s—
extractsucceeded13 s—
computesucceeded0.0 s—
judgesucceeded12 s—
aggregatesucceeded0.0 s—

pipeline-v2.9 · prompts-v2.5 · rubrics-v1 · weights-v1 · bundle f7ca9a5c4a2a · code eb7ac43

Last updated 2026-10-10 How the Index is computed